Valencia de Leogane vs Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
ASM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BOY
0 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
POR
3 - 4
VAL
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 3
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 1
VAL
35%
32%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
DON
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
BAL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
TEM
1 - 0
DON
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DON
2 - 2
VIC
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PET
2 - 1
DON
48%
29%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |