Valencia de Leogane vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAP
4 - 0
VAL
38%
31%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASM
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 2
VAL
32%
33%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OUA
2 - 1
VAL
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 1
GON
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OUA
1 - 0
CAV
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 4
DON
49%
30%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TEM
2 - 1
CAV
44%
30%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 0
CSC
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |