Valencia de Leogane vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
29.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAL
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
RAC
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
VAL
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
GON
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIG
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
BAL
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
ASC
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
FIC
0 - 1
BAL
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAP
0 - 0
BAL
43%
30%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |