Valencia vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VCF
1 - 0
CAS
82%
15%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
VCF
1 - 0
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 0
VCF
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
VCF
2 - 1
VAD
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
CDT
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAR
85%
12%
3%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 0
EIB
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
RMA
2 - 1
VIL
77%
14%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
RSO
48%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |