Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OSA
1 - 4
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
3 - 0
ALA
62%
22%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
VCF
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 0
GET
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
VCF
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
RMA
38%
24%
38%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
5 - 2
CEL
76%
15%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BET
0 - 1
RMA
20%
22%
58%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 3
RMA
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 4
RMA
10%
19%
72%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |