Valencia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 3
VCF
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VCF
1 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
41%
25%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CCF
2 - 0
MAL
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 3
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 0
MAL
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
4 - 2
MAL
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |