Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 1-8
Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
73.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BET
1 - 0
VCF
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FCB
7 - 0
VCF
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VCF
0 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
VCF
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 2
FCB
4%
13%
83%
|
99 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FCB
7 - 0
VCF
92%
6%
2%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATH
91%
7%
2%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 2
FCB
5%
15%
79%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |