Valence vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AMN
0 - 0
VAL
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCM
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NAN
0 - 0
VAL
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 3
OLY
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 2
MOA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 1
RAO
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 3
SAR
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
MOU
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |