Valence vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
CLE
3 - 3
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
VAL
2 - 3
THO
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 3
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
VAL
4 - 4
PAC
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
GAZ
2 - 1
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
PAU
1 - 1
GAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
GAZ
1 - 0
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
PAC
3 - 3
GAZ
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
GAZ
4 - 0
IST
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |