V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
VVA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
KYO
0 - 2
VVA
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
VVA
0 - 1
JUB
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 2
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VVA
1 - 0
MAT
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 3
MON
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
OMI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
OMI
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 1
TOC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 0
OMI
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |