V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ehime analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 0
VVA
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 1
ZWE
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VVA
3 - 1
ZWE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
VVA
1 - 1
VEN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TOK
0 - 2
VVA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ehime
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
EHI
1 - 1
JEF
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOK
3 - 0
EHI
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 0
EHI
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
EHI
0 - 2
AVI
18%
27%
56%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RYK
6 - 0
EHI
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |