Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Round 14

Uxbridge vs Guernsey analysis

Uxbridge Guernsey
47 ELO 30
-4% Tilt 6.4%
9219º General ELO ranking 12996º
400º Country ELO ranking 773º
ELO win probability
75%
Uxbridge
15.4%
Draw
9.6%
Guernsey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
Uxbridge
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.6%
Win probability
Guernsey
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uxbridge
+184%
+16%
Guernsey

ELO progression

Uxbridge
Guernsey
Whyteleafe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uxbridge
Uxbridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2021
WAL
Walton Casuals
2 - 6
Uxbridge
UXB
32%
23%
45%
45 38 7 0
09 Nov. 2021
BAS
Basingstoke Town
1 - 1
Uxbridge
UXB
30%
22%
47%
46 37 9 -1
06 Nov. 2021
UXB
Uxbridge
2 - 1
Chipstead
CHI
67%
19%
15%
45 35 10 +1
30 Oct. 2021
UXB
Uxbridge
2 - 1
Basildon United
BAS
70%
19%
11%
45 32 13 0
23 Oct. 2021
UXB
Uxbridge
3 - 2
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
68%
18%
13%
45 34 11 0

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2021
GUE
Guernsey
0 - 3
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
16%
18%
66%
32 46 14 0
13 Nov. 2021
GUE
Guernsey
2 - 2
Westfield FC
WES
42%
23%
35%
32 34 2 0
06 Nov. 2021
GUE
Guernsey
2 - 2
Thatcham Town
THA
45%
23%
33%
32 33 1 0
23 Oct. 2021
GUE
Guernsey
2 - 0
Northwood
NOR
78%
13%
8%
31 22 9 +1
16 Oct. 2021
CHI
Chipstead
3 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
52%
22%
26%
32 34 2 -1