UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 2
UTC
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
UTC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 3
AYA
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
UTC
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
ALI
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |