USV Hercules vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
WES
4 - 3
USV
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
USV
4 - 2
DON
44%
24%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ACV
0 - 3
USV
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 2
USV
34%
24%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
DON
3 - 2
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
USV
4 - 2
DON
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DON
5 - 2
DOV
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
DON
1 - 3
DBI
66%
19%
16%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 1
DON
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |