USM Saran Sub 19 vs Lille Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
37
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
SRA
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SRA
0 - 1
REI
23%
19%
58%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
SRA
78%
13%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 2
ORL
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
SRA
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lille Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
5 - 0
GON
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 0
AMI
25%
22%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |