USM Khenchela vs US Tighenif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
USK
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
USK
1 - 1
NCM
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
ARB
5 - 1
USK
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
USK
1 - 0
USB
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
USK
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Tighenif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
UST
0 - 2
BEL
3%
10%
87%
|
10 | 75 | 65 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UST
0 - 2
HUS
8%
16%
77%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
UST
1 - 0
ESG
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |