USM Bel Abbès vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AML
1 - 0
USM
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
USM
1 - 1
USM
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 1
USM
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
USM
2 - 3
TLE
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
USB
0 - 1
USM
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TLE
1 - 4
PAR
21%
29%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 0
AML
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 1
PAR
29%
30%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 0
SKI
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
NCM
0 - 0
PAR
25%
31%
43%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |