USM Alger vs RC Arbaâ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
11º
11º
36
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
USB
1 - 0
USM
25%
29%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
USM
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 1
USM
25%
29%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
USM
2 - 2
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RC Arbaâ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 4
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARB
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 2
CHL
45%
23%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
JSK
4 - 0
ARB
57%
26%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |