USM Alger vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
USM
4 - 1
ALK
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
MER
1 - 5
USM
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
USM
4 - 1
CAP
91%
8%
2%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
USM
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
USM
2 - 0
ZAM
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SKI
3 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
BEJ
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BBA
6 - 2
PAR
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHL
59%
24%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
EUL
1 - 0
PAR
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |