USM Alger vs MC Oran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
USM
2 - 1
TEV
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
USM
39%
30%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
USM
3 - 0
CHL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
USM
4 - 0
TLE
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
64%
23%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MC Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
ORA
3 - 1
CAB
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
ORA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
EUL
3 - 0
ORA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
SET
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |