USM Alger vs MC Oran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
HUS
1 - 2
USM
40%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
USM
0 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
BBA
1 - 1
USM
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
JSK
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 0
USM
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MC Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BEJ
2 - 0
ORA
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
ORA
2 - 1
KHR
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ORA
1 - 0
TLE
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
4 - 1
ORA
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ORA
2 - 1
HAR
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |