Vigor Carpaneto vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 1
USD
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 2
USD
49%
22%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
USD
2 - 1
LEN
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAV
1 - 1
USD
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
LEN
80%
14%
5%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 5
MAN
7%
18%
75%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 5
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PES
3 - 2
MAN
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |