Lavello vs FC Francavilla 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
LAV
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 0
LAV
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TAR
2 - 0
LAV
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 0
FIA
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
LAV
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
FC Francavilla 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 3
AUD
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 3
MOL
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
FCF
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 1
FCF
50%
24%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 2
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |