Lavello vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
18º
17º
33
10º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PUT
1 - 1
LAV
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 2
FCF
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAT
3 - 2
LAV
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 3
USB
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SSB
3 - 2
LAV
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 0
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 4
USB
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FCF
1 - 1
FBC
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 3
GLA
39%
25%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 0
FBC
72%
19%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |