Casatese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 4
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
CRE
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
CAS
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
USP
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SCA
0 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
DES
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
4 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |