Triestina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
ACM
5 - 2
TRI
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
ATL
0 - 1
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
TRI
2 - 2
PRO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VNZ
0 - 1
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
GEN
0 - 1
PAD
61%
19%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
INT
4 - 2
GEN
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 0
VNZ
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |