Triestina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
USC
0 - 0
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TRI
1 - 1
ABN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
TRI
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 1
TRI
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
RIM
4 - 2
FCC
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
USC
2 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |