Triestina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ASG
2 - 0
TRI
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
SSS
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RIM
0 - 1
TRI
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CES
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CES
3 - 3
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIS
1 - 0
CES
15%
24%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UAR
0 - 1
CES
15%
23%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CES
0 - 4
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |