Triestina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 2
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 2
VIS
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 1
TRI
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
4 - 1
LEG
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ARZ
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 3
CAR
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
ARZ
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASG
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |