Revel vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 3
USR
11%
15%
75%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
USR
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -6 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
USR
1 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAI
3 - 0
USR
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
USR
2 - 2
TOU
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRF
0 - 0
BLA
55%
26%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 0
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |