Pro Vercelli vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
LEO
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 2
LEO
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 1
LEO
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 2
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ASL
3 - 3
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASL
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
EMP
4 - 0
ASL
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |