Pro Vercelli vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAT
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEO
58%
24%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 2
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
JUS
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |