US Ponte San Pietro vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
USP
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
USP
2 - 1
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
USP
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
USB
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 1
USP
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DES
2 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
SON
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
5 - 0
DES
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VCB
0 - 1
DES
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |