Poggibonsi vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
USP
45%
28%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
GAV
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
USP
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
USP
3 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 0
USP
60%
23%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 1
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
MAS
23%
25%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |