Itala S. Marco vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itala S. Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 2
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
VNZ
0 - 3
ACM
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
VNZ
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VNZ
6 - 2
SAR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DEL
1 - 3
VNZ
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VNZ
2 - 1
TAM
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |