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Lega Pro. Group A, Matchday 27

Grosseto Pontedera
26 ELO 38
-13% Tilt 1%
4097º General ELO ranking 2454º
137º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Grosseto
29%
Draw
36%
Pontedera

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
Grosseto
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36%
Win probability
Pontedera
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grosseto
-4%
-22%
Pontedera

Basic stats

3
1
GF
1
3
GC
26
38
ELO
1.1
1.1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Grosseto
Their league position
Pontedera
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
12º
55
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Como
75
75
100%
US Alessandria
68
68
100%
Renate
65
65
100%
Pro Vercelli
63
63
100%
Pro Patria
61
61
100%
Lecco
60
60
100%
AlbinoLeffe
57
57
100%
Pontedera
55
55
100%
Grosseto
54
54
100%
Juventus Sub 23
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Novara
11º
49
49
11º
50%
Piacenza
12º
49
49
12º
50%
Olbia Calcio
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Giana Erminio
14º
44
44
14º
33%
Pergolettese
15º
44
44
15º
33%
Carrarese
16º
44
44
16º
33%
Pro Sesto
17º
43
43
17º
100%
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
18º
31
31
18º
50%
Pistoiese
19º
31
31
19º
50%
Livorno
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grosseto
Pontedera
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 100%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grosseto
GRO
Pontedera
PON
Pistoiese
PIS
Carrarese
CAR
US Alessandria
USA
Juventus Sub 23
JS2
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grosseto
Grosseto
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
0 - 0
Grosseto
GRO
51%
25%
24%
326 598 272 +1
17 Feb. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
1 - 1
US Alessandria
USA
35%
27%
37%
325 804 -479 +1
13 Feb. 2021
LEO
Pro Vercelli
3 - 0
Grosseto
GRO
56%
24%
20%
328 862 534 -3
07 Feb. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 2
Pergolettese
PER
39%
28%
33%
328 514 -186 0
03 Feb. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 1
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
ASL
44%
27%
29%
325 424 -99 +3

Matches

Pontedera
Pontedera
1%
X%
2%
ELO PON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
PON
Pontedera
0 - 0
US Alessandria
USA
40%
28%
32%
544 803 -259 0
17 Feb. 2021
LEC
Lecco
0 - 0
Pontedera
PON
39%
28%
33%
545 346 -199 0
13 Feb. 2021
PON
Pontedera
1 - 0
Novara
NOV
40%
28%
32%
541 772 -231 +3
07 Feb. 2021
REN
Renate
0 - 0
Pontedera
PON
46%
27%
27%
541 500 -41 0
02 Feb. 2021
PON
Pontedera
1 - 1
Carrarese
CAR
41%
28%
31%
541 645 -104 0