noscript image

Lega Pro. Group A, Matchday 23

Grosseto Pergolettese
26 ELO 37
-19% Tilt 34%
4083º General ELO ranking 2587º
137º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
25.2%
Grosseto
25.8%
Draw
49%
Pergolettese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
Grosseto
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49%
Win probability
Pergolettese
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

2
2
GF
2
2
GC
26
37
ELO
1
1.5
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Grosseto
Their league position
Pergolettese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
12º
44
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Como
75
75
100%
US Alessandria
68
68
100%
Renate
65
65
100%
Pro Vercelli
63
63
100%
Pro Patria
61
61
100%
Lecco
60
60
100%
AlbinoLeffe
57
57
100%
Pontedera
55
55
100%
Grosseto
54
54
100%
Juventus Sub 23
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Novara
11º
49
49
11º
50%
Piacenza
12º
49
49
12º
50%
Olbia Calcio
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Giana Erminio
14º
44
44
14º
33%
Pergolettese
15º
44
44
15º
33%
Carrarese
16º
44
44
16º
33%
Pro Sesto
17º
43
43
17º
100%
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
18º
31
31
18º
50%
Pistoiese
19º
31
31
19º
50%
Livorno
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grosseto
Pergolettese
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 67%
Relegation playoffs
0% 33%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grosseto
GRO
Pergolettese
PER
Pro Vercelli
LEO
US Alessandria
USA
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
ASL
Giana Erminio
GER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grosseto
Grosseto
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 1
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
ASL
44%
27%
29%
325 424 -99 +3
31 Jan. 2021
REN
Renate
2 - 1
Grosseto
GRO
53%
25%
22%
327 501 174 -2
24 Jan. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
39%
27%
34%
324 606 -282 +3
17 Jan. 2021
OLB
Olbia Calcio
3 - 2
Grosseto
GRO
47%
27%
26%
327 370 43 -3
10 Jan. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
0 - 2
Pistoiese
PIS
42%
28%
31%
331 479 -148 -4

Matches

Pergolettese
Pergolettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO PER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2021
PER
Pergolettese
2 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
47%
27%
26%
510 483 27 +4
30 Jan. 2021
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
1 - 0
Pergolettese
PER
49%
26%
25%
513 594 81 -3
24 Jan. 2021
PER
Pergolettese
0 - 2
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
ASL
49%
26%
25%
518 423 95 -5
17 Jan. 2021
PER
Pergolettese
2 - 0
Pontedera
PON
46%
27%
27%
513 538 -25 +4
10 Jan. 2021
GER
Giana Erminio
2 - 0
Pergolettese
PER
46%
27%
28%
518 460 -58 -4