Grosseto vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
GRO
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 1
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TUT
1 - 0
GRO
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
ASL
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASL
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |