Grosseto vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 1
GRO
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 1
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MOD
3 - 0
GRO
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
RAV
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CES
1 - 2
PIS
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
NAP
4 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 2
CES
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |