Calcio Foggia vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USF
5 - 2
USV
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
USF
17%
24%
60%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
USF
2 - 3
FIA
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
FRA
30%
27%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
TUR
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FRA
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 1
LAT
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |