Calcio Foggia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
USF
2 - 3
FIA
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PIC
1 - 1
USF
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USF
1 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
USF
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 0
RPO
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
PAG
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 2
FCC
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |