Calcio Foggia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FIA
0 - 3
USF
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USF
1 - 1
JUS
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 1
USF
16%
24%
61%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MES
0 - 2
BAR
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 1
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
LUC
58%
21%
20%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |