Calcio Foggia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SSB
0 - 1
USF
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
USF
3 - 2
REG
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASL
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 2
ANC
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TER
4 - 3
ASL
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |