Calcio Foggia vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 0
USF
10%
21%
69%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAT
2 - 1
USF
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
USF
1 - 1
JUS
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 4
USF
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MON
2 - 3
USF
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 2
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 1
CAS
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 3
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
CAT
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 3
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |