Cremonese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 1
USC
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
USC
2 - 1
PIS
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PES
0 - 2
USC
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
EMP
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |