Cremonese vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SSS
2 - 4
USC
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
USC
2 - 4
RIM
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
RIM
5 - 2
USC
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
USC
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
USC
2 - 1
PIS
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 5
CHI
11%
23%
66%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOL
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |