Corticella vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
LEN
3 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
COR
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GHI
2 - 2
COR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COR
2 - 3
SAM
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
FIO
23%
28%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SER
4 - 3
USR
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
USR
2 - 1
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
USR
0 - 2
ACA
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
USR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |