Castelnuovo Garfagnana vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnuovo Garfagnana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VIN
2 - 0
UCG
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
CAV
3 - 0
UCG
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
UCG
0 - 1
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CSP
1 - 1
UCG
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
UCG
0 - 0
CUO
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ANC
1 - 2
CAV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANC
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ANC
3 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ANC
0 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |