US Breno vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
FAN
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SON
0 - 2
USB
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 1
USB
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
USB
0 - 0
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
SCA
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USP
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
NOV
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 3
USP
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |