US Breno vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 3
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
USB
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 3
USP
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
USB
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
USB
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRE
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |